Bitcoin Base priceBTC

We are now in a major wick at range highs - there is a lot of liquidity here around 122K Longs were the play on at retest of lows around 106K/108K area Longs should already in be position and green and playing defense Continuation or short - we are in a hot spot for a reaction $BTC

$FF Today's Coin Market Scenario; The broader cryptocurrency market is showing strong bullish momentum on October 4, 2025, entering what traders are calling "Uptober" with Bitcoin (BTC) hovering around $120,000 and Ethereum (ETH) up ~1.29% in the last 24 hours. Altcoins are riding the wave, with high-volume movers like FLOKI (+33%) leading gains, per recent social sentiment scans. Falcon Finance (FF/USDT) fits this narrative but with added volatility: it's up ~7-11% today to approximately $0.1955, recovering from a brutal 77% dump between its all-time high (ATH) of $0.6713 on September 29 and all-time low (ATL) of $0.1559 on September 30. Current 24-hour volume is robust at ~$212M, with a market cap of ~$461M (rank #133), indicating renewed interest but still far from ATH levels. Fund flows show a slight net outflow (-$199K total), driven by large sellers (2.44M FF sold vs. 1.03M bought), but medium and small buyers are accumulating aggressively (net +$1.21M combined), suggesting retail confidence in the rebound. Overall, the market feels like a post-pump correction turning into accumulation, with FF's 46% 24h volume-to-market-cap ratio signaling high liquidity and potential for quick swings over the weekend. Investor Psychology for Today's Market Situation; Investor sentiment around FF is a classic mix of post-trauma caution and opportunistic greed. The September 30 crash left scars social chatter is rife with "rug pull" fears and "never again" vows, especially after the ATL wiped out leveraged positions. Yet, today's +7-11% pump has flipped the script: FOMO is building as retail piles in via medium/small buys, viewing the dip as a "generational entry" into a DeFi token with strong fundamentals (e.g, Falcon Finance's focus on scalable lending protocols). Whales remain bearish short-term (net large sell-off), creating a "smart money vs. dumb money" divide that breeds hesitation. Psychology leans toward "buy the rumor, sell the news" for weekend pumps, but with low weekend liquidity, expect herd behavior: panic sells on any red candle below $0.18, followed by dip-buying chases above $0.20. Broader market euphoria (e.g, BTC's stability) is the tailwind, but FF's hype-driven history means sentiment could sour fast on negative. Chart Pattern Analysis; On the 2-hour timeframe, FF/USDT is forming an ascending triangle pattern post-ATL rebound: the price has carved higher lows ($0.1733 on Oct 4 low, up from $0.1559 ATL) against a flat resistance near $0.2024 (24h high). This bullish continuation setup suggests building pressure for a breakout above $0.20, especially with volume spiking on green candles (e.g 9.5M FF in recent bars vs. average 7.6M). The chart shows a clear uptrend channel from Sep 30 low, with price bouncing off the lower trendline ($0.17 support). EMAs are aligning bullishly: 5-period EMA ($0.193) crossed above 10-period ($0.1912) and 20-period ($0.1908), while MAs (5: $0.194, 10: $0.1908) act as dynamic support. Volume profile confirms accumulation bars are taller on upticks, with SAR flipping bullish at $0.21M. Risk: A breakdown below $0.173 could invalidate into a descending wedge, targeting $0.15. K-Line Pattern Analysis; K-lines (Japanese candlesticks) on the 1H/2H charts reveal a bullish reversal cluster from the ATL shadow. Key formations include: Three white soldiers over the last 3-4 candles: Consecutive green bodies with higher closes ($0.1733 → $0.186 → $0.192), each opening within the prior body and closing near highs classic momentum builder after downtrend exhaustion. Bullish harami on Sep 30 close: A small red candle engulfed by a larger green one on Oct 1 open, signaling shift from seller dominance. Overall wick structure shows lengthening lower shadows on recent lows, indicating buyer defense at $0.17-$0.18. Upper wicks are shortening, reducing rejection at resistance. This points to strengthening bulls, but watch for indecision doji if volume fades over weekend. Candlestick Patterns Analysis; Diving deeper into individual candles: Bullish engulfing (Oct 3, ~17:00 UTC): A strong red candle from $0.1862 high was fully swallowed by a green one closing at $0.192, with volume 2x average high-confidence reversal signal at channel support. Hammer on ATL (Sep 30): Long lower wick (~0.03 length) with small body at $0.1559 close, rejecting further downside; confirmed by next-day green follow-through. Recent spinning tops (Oct 4 early bars): Small bodies with equal wicks suggest consolidation, but green bias prevails. No bearish shooting stars yet, keeping upside open. Pattern confluence with EMAs supports 70%+ probability of continuation to $0.22 if $0.20 breaks. Pinbar Structure Analysis; Pinbars (rejection candles with long wicks) highlight key battles: Bullish pinbar at 24h low ($0.1733, Oct 4 ~10:00 UTC): Wick-to-body ratio ~3:1 (wick 0.018 long, body 0.006), closing in upper third—strong buyer rejection of sellers, coinciding with volume surge (13M USDT turnover). This structures as a demand zone, with prior pinbar at ATL echoing the same (wick 0.025, rejecting $0.13 probe). No dominant bearish pinbars recently; a minor one at $0.2024 resistance (Oct 4 high) has a 2:1 upper wick, hinting at supply overhead but not invalidating bulls. Structure: Pins cluster at Fib-derived supports (e.g, near 0% retrace from ATL), forming a "wick ladder" uptrend bullish until a bearish pin closes below $0.18 with high volume. Weekend Trade Plan: Fibonacci Levels + TLS Combination ($500 Investment) by INVESTERCLUB; For the weekend (Oct 4-5, 2025), focus on a long spot position leveraging the ascending triangle breakout potential. Combine Fibonacci retracement (from ATL $0.1559 to ATH $0.6713) for targets/supports with Trend Line Support (TLS): Draw a rising trendline from Sep 30 ATL ($0.1559) through Oct 4 low ($0.1733), sloping ~15% upward (equation: y = 0.009x + 0.1559, where x = hours from ATL). Entry on pullback to TLS confluence with Fib 0% ($0.1559, but practically $0.18 zone for safety). Risk 2% of capital ($10), reward 10%+ ($50 min). Exact values based on current chart: Entry: $0.1800 (TLS touch + 24h low buffer; ~7% below current $0.1955). Buy 2,777.78 FF ($500 / $0.1800). Rationale: Pinbar support here; if holds, targets Fib extensions. Stop Loss (SL): $0.1700 (below TLS and hammer wick; risks $27.78 or ~5.6% of position). Invalidates on breakdown. Take Profit 1 (TP1): $0.2300 (Fib 23.6% retrace: $0.2775, partial at halfway for 28% gain; sell 50% = 1,388.89 FF → $319.44 profit). Take Profit 2 (TP2): $0.2800 (Full Fib 23.6% + TLS projection; sell remainder = +$277.78 profit). Risk:Reward: 1:5 (risk $27.78 for $138.89 avg profit). Trail SL to entry on TP1 hit. Position Sizing: Full $500 spot (no leverage for weekend volatility). Monitor volume >10M FF/bar for confirmation; exit early if net fund outflow spikes >$500K. Scenario: Bullish if BTC >$67K; scale out on $0.20 resistance test. Total potential: +$597.22 (119% ROI) if both TPs hit. This plan assumes spot trading; DYOR, NFA crypto is volatile, especially weekends. Track EMAs for confluence.$FF

Walmart-owned OnePay plans to launch Bitcoin, ether trading and custody on mobile later this year, according to report.

🔮 zkVerify (VFY) – Can It Be the Next ZK Breakout? The crypto market has always thrived on innovation 🚀 — from DeFi to AI-powered chains, every cycle brings fresh projects aiming to disrupt the status quo. This time, the spotlight is on zkVerify (VFY), a newly launched token making waves in the zero-knowledge (ZK) verification sector. But here’s the big question traders are asking: 👉 Is VFY truly the next breakout altcoin, or just another short-lived hype token? Let’s break down the price action, tokenomics, and future growth potential to find out. 📉 Current Market Behavior: Volatility Meets Opportunity Since its mainnet launch on September 30, 2025, VFY has shown wild swings. 🐻 Bearish Pressures Post-listing sell-off: The token saw an initial pump after listings on KuCoin & Bitget, followed by heavy profit-taking. “Buy the rumor, sell the news” effect: Traders sold immediately after the mainnet launch hype faded. Support test: The $0.10 level is critical 🔑 — if this breaks, the token risks deeper downside. 🐂 Bullish Sparks Bounce from lows: On October 3rd, VFY pumped nearly +30% in 24 hours, hinting at bargain-hunting. Accumulation signs: Stabilization near $0.10 could attract new buyers looking for entry. Rising volume: Increased trading activity shows that interest hasn’t died — it’s just shifting hands. ⚖️ Bottom line: VFY is still in a price discovery phase, meaning big moves in either direction are possible. 📊 Tokenomics – The Double-Edged Sword ⚔️ Tokenomics can make or break a project, and VFY’s structure has both strengths and red flags. 🚨 Concerns: High FDV problem: While its current market cap is modest (~$37M), FDV exceeds $120M–$3B, raising fears of overvaluation. Airdrop sell pressure: Recent airdrops flooded the market, with recipients quickly selling. Vesting unlocks: More tokens will be released gradually, creating potential future supply shocks. ✅ Positives: Utility-driven token: VFY powers transactions, staking, and governance within the zkVerify ecosystem. Community focus: Over 37% of supply goes to the community, rewarding early adopters. Staking incentives: Holders can secure the network while earning rewards — a strong retention tool. ⚡ Project Strengths & Sector Tailwinds Why are analysts even excited about VFY despite short-term risks? Because zkVerify sits in a booming niche: ZK verification. ✨ Core Strengths: Cost efficiency: Claims up to 90% cheaper ZK proof verification vs Ethereum. Speed advantage: A dedicated chain designed for scalability & instant proof validation. Institutional angle: With the EU exploring ZK-based digital IDs and tech giants like Google testing ZK use cases, adoption could skyrocket. Developer-friendly: Multi-ecosystem compatibility makes zkVerify appealing to builders. ⚠️ Challenges Ahead: Fierce competition from other ZK players (zkSync, Starknet, Polygon zkEVM). Adoption delays — DeFi and AI integration hasn’t fully arrived yet. Macro headwinds — bearish BTC/ETH cycles could drag VFY down regardless of fundamentals. 📈 Future Price Predictions – Short vs Long Term 📌 Short Term (1–3 months) If $0.10 support holds, VFY could rebound toward $0.15–$0.20 🎯. A break below $0.10 risks a slide to $0.07–$0.08 zone. 📌 Mid-Term (6–12 months) If adoption grows, VFY could reclaim $0.30–$0.40. Still vulnerable to supply unlock sell pressure — volatility will remain high. 📌 Long Term (2–3 years) With ZK adoption accelerating, successful execution could see VFY trade above $1.00+. But failure to stand out in the crowded ZK sector could keep it underperforming. 🧠 Final Take – A High-Risk, High-Reward Bet zkVerify (VFY) is not your typical meme-driven token — it’s backed by real ZK tech with serious institutional potential. Yet, its tokenomics pressure and competitive environment make it a very risky short-term play. 👉 For short-term traders: It’s a volatile opportunity for quick gains, but risk management is critical. 👉 For long-term investors: VFY’s value lies in ecosystem adoption and ZK sector growth. Accumulating during dips might pay off big — but patience is key. 💡 The crypto market loves narratives. If zkVerify manages to secure partnerships and prove its efficiency, it could very well spread its wings and fly 🦅 in the next ZK adoption wave. Bottom Line: VFY is a speculative gem 💎 — one that could either shine in the ZK future or fade into the noise of countless altcoins. $VFY

GM lads, Seeing many getting cooked shorting this bullish BTC range. Doesn’t make sense to me here. US Gov shutdown = no NFP data release = funky volatility ⚡ Rate cuts still possible by EOM, but FED will be deciding in the dark with missing data. Careful fighting the trend.