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Is the Constraint of Reputation and Trust Still Effective in an Increasingly Murky Market?
Share link:In this post: Trump launched a new crypto venture where he profits early and his supporters lose money again. His past projects—Truth Social, $Trump, $Melania, and NFTs—left late investors with major losses. The new WLFI token offers no profits or ownership but funnels 75% of sale proceeds back to Trump.
Share link:In this post: Jerome Powell hinted at a possible September rate cut but admitted the Fed is facing a “challenging situation.” Fed officials are divided over inflation, weak hiring, and whether to cut rates now or wait. Trump threatened to fire Governor Lisa Cook and continues to pressure the Fed to lower rates.
Share link:In this post: Only 37% of Americans trust Powell to manage the economy, near record-low levels. Powell hinted at upcoming interest rate cuts during his final Jackson Hole speech. Trump attacked Fed official Lisa Cook and installed loyalists to reshape the central bank.
- 11:1810x Research: Bitcoin's four-year cycle still exists, but its driving force has shifted from halving to politics and liquidityChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Markus Thielen, Head of Research at 10x Research, stated that the four-year cycle of bitcoin still exists, but its main driving factors are no longer halving events, but rather political factors, liquidity environment, and election cycles. The bitcoin market reached all-time highs in 2013, 2017, and 2021. This year, under the recent rate-cutting environment of the Federal Reserve, bitcoin has not regained strong upward momentum. The reason is that institutional investors have become the dominant force in the crypto market, but their decision-making is more cautious. With the Federal Reserve's policy signals still fluctuating and overall liquidity tightening, the pace of capital inflows has clearly slowed, weakening the momentum needed for sustained price breakthroughs. Until liquidity significantly improves, bitcoin is more likely to maintain range-bound oscillation and sideways consolidation, rather than quickly entering a new round of parabolic rally.
- 11:11Data: The Bitcoin premium index on a certain exchange has remained in positive premium for 12 consecutive days, currently reported at 0.017%.ChainCatcher news, according to Coinglass data, a certain exchange's Bitcoin premium index has remained in positive territory for 12 consecutive days, currently reported at 0.017%. The Bitcoin premium index of this exchange is used to measure the difference between the Bitcoin price on this exchange (a major US trading platform) and the global market average price. This index is an important indicator for observing US market capital flows, institutional investment enthusiasm, and changes in market sentiment. A positive premium indicates that the price on this exchange is higher than the global average, which usually means strong buying interest in the US market, active participation from institutions or compliant funds, ample US dollar liquidity, and optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the price on this exchange is lower than the global average, which usually reflects greater selling pressure in the US market, decreased investor risk appetite, heightened risk aversion, or capital outflows.
- 11:03Analysis: If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates as expected, Bitcoin may retrace to the $70,000 levelAccording to ChainCatcher, some macro analysts believe that if the Bank of Japan raises interest rates as expected, bitcoin may further retrace to the $70,000 level. Analyst AndrewBTC, who tracks historical data, noted that every rate hike by the Bank of Japan since 2024 has been accompanied by a drop of more than 20% in bitcoin's price. For example, there was a decline of about 23% in March 2024, about 26% in July 2024, and about 31% in January 2025. If the Bank of Japan raises rates next week, similar downside risks may occur again.