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DAT: A Concept in Transition
DAT: A Concept in Transition

金色财经·2025/12/04 02:20
From traditional market-making giants to core market makers in prediction markets, SIG's forward-looking layout in crypto
From traditional market-making giants to core market makers in prediction markets, SIG's forward-looking layout in crypto

Whether it's investing or trading, SIG is always forward-looking.

深潮·2025/12/04 02:12
2026: The Year of Federal Reserve Regime Change
2026: The Year of Federal Reserve Regime Change

The Federal Reserve will shift away from the technocratic caution characteristic of the Powell era and move toward a new mission that explicitly prioritizes lowering borrowing costs to advance the president’s economic agenda.

Block unicorn·2025/12/04 00:52
Flash
  • 04:30
    Putin's economic advisor calls for inclusion of cryptocurrencies in Russia's national trade ledger
    ChainCatcher news, according to reports from Vedomosti and RBC, Maxim Oreshkin, economic adviser to the Russian president, stated that cryptocurrencies should be included in the country's balance of payments, and described bitcoin mining as an "undervalued export project." He pointed out that Russian companies have already invested over $1.3 billion in mining infrastructure and are conducting import and export settlements through cryptocurrencies, which has a real impact on the foreign exchange market. The Russian government is gradually promoting the inclusion of crypto trading within a regulatory framework to address foreign trade needs under the context of sanctions.
  • 04:30
    Delphi Digital: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at least three more times by 2026
    On December 4, according to the latest report from crypto research institution Delphi Digital, 2026 may become a significant growth period for cryptocurrencies. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates again by 25 basis points to the 3.5%-3.75% range in December 2025, and to cut rates at least three more times in 2026, potentially lowering the year-end rate to around 3%. At the same time, quantitative tightening is set to end on December 1, 2025. Combined with a reduction in transitional government assets and the depletion of reserve accounts, these factors will jointly create the first net positive liquidity environment since early 2022. The report points out that the policy environment in 2026 will shift from resistance to a mild tailwind, benefiting duration assets, large-cap stocks, gold, and digital assets with structural demand support. This policy shift is described as "a controlled decline rather than a sharp pivot."
  • 04:14
    Analysis: Multiple factors have led to the first positive net liquidity environment since early 2022
    ChainCatcher News, Crypto market research institution Delphi Digital stated on social media that the Federal Reserve's interest rate path for next year is the clearest it has been in years. In December 2025, there will be another 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate down to about 3.5%-3.75%. The forward curve predicts at least three more rate cuts in 2026, and if the path remains unchanged, the year-end rate will fall to the low range of around 3%. However, rate cuts are only part of the picture. Quantitative tightening (QT) ended on December 1. The Treasury General Account (TGA) plans to gradually decrease rather than replenish. Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) have been completely depleted. These factors together have created the first net positive liquidity environment since early 2022. The Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) and the federal funds rate have both fallen back to the high range of 3%. Real interest rates have also retreated from their 2023-2024 peaks. However, there has not been a collapse; this is a controlled slowdown, not a sudden policy shift. 2026 will be a year when policy shifts from being a headwind to providing mild support. This environment is favorable for long-duration assets, large-cap stocks, gold, and digital assets supported by structural demand.
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