63K Bitcoin Exits Long-Term Wallets: A Surge of Speculative Short-Term Buying
Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim momentum as it trades below the critical $90,000 level, with selling pressure dominating the market and fear spreading rapidly. Many analysts are leaning toward calling the start of a new bear market, arguing that Bitcoin likely topped in early October near $126,000. Momentum has weakened sharply since then, and investor behavior now reflects a shift toward risk-off positioning.
A new report from CryptoOnchain, published via CryptoQuant, highlights one of the most significant developments of this cycle: a historic 63,000 BTC has moved from long-term holders (LTHs) to short-term holders (STHs). This unprecedented transfer is clearly visible in the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change chart, which shows a massive red bar — a negative daily difference signaling heavy outflows from long-term holder wallets.
This type of behavior typically appears during late-stage bull markets or near local and cycle tops, when long-time investors with substantial profit margins begin realizing gains. At the same time, the corresponding Short-Term Holder Net Position Change chart shows a huge green bar, confirming that newer, more reactive market participants are buying these coins, often at elevated prices.
Long-Term Holders Distribute as Short-Term Buyers Absorb Supply
CryptoOnchain explains that the current market structure is being shaped by a clear divergence in behavior between Long-Term Holders (LTHs) and Short-Term Holders (STHs). LTHs — historically considered the “strong hands” of the market — are now heavily distributing, sending large amounts of Bitcoin into the market after months or even years of holding.
At the same time, STHs are aggressively buying and accumulating this supply, often entering positions at elevated prices despite growing volatility.
This dynamic is not inherently a bearish signal on its own. In fact, such transitions are common during late-stage bull markets, where early investors secure profits while new participants enter the market with fresh capital. It reflects a natural rotation of supply from experienced holders to newer ones, a pattern seen repeatedly in previous cycles.
However, the volume of distribution is significant, and it raises an important risk: if incoming demand fails to fully absorb the coins being offloaded by LTHs, the market could face a deeper correction or extended consolidation phase. This supply pressure can weigh on price, especially in a context where sentiment is fragile and macro conditions remain uncertain.
Weekly Chart Signals a Critical Retest of Macro Support
Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize around the $87,000 level after an intense multi-week sell-off that dragged price as low as $85,946. On the weekly chart, Bitcoin has now tapped the 100-week moving average (green line), a historically important support level during bull-market retracements. This line acted as a springboard in previous cycles, but the current bounce remains weak and indecisive, reflecting the fear dominating the market.
Momentum has clearly shifted bearish. The breakdown from the $110K–$100K consolidation zone triggered accelerated selling, confirming a loss of market structure on the weekly timeframe. Candles over the past three weeks show high-volume distribution, with sellers overwhelming demand each time Bitcoin attempted to reclaim higher levels. The steep slope of the 50-week MA turning slightly down is another sign that trend strength has softened.
However, the reaction at the 100-week MA is critical. Bulls aggressively defended this area in prior macro corrections, and holding above $83K–$86K keeps the long-term bull structure intact. A weekly close below this zone, however, opens the door to deeper downside toward the 200-week MA near $56K–$60K.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
You may also like
DASH drops 7.15% in a day as several top executives offload shares through scheduled selling plans
- DoorDash (DASH) fell 7.15% on Nov 26, 2025, but rose 71.59% year-to-date amid insider sales by executives via Rule 10b5-1 plans. - CFO Ravi Inukonda and President Prabir Adarkar sold $2.7M and $4.6M of shares respectively, while analysts raised price targets to $260. - Institutional buyers like XTX Topco Ltd and Summit Global Investments added shares, reflecting ongoing confidence in DoorDash's international expansion and DashPass strategy. - Upcoming Q4 2025 earnings on Feb 10, 2026, will test market se

XRP News Update: XRP ETFs See Inflows Soar While Prices Drop: The $628 Million Inflow Mystery
- XRP ETF inflows hit $164M daily as Bitwise, Grayscale, and Franklin Templeton drive institutional adoption, surpassing $628M total assets. - Ripple's 2025 SEC settlement and RLUSD stablecoin boosted confidence, but XRP's price fell below $2 amid whale sales of 200M tokens. - CME's XRP futures and NYSE Arca's ETF approvals signal growing institutional infrastructure, though 41.5% of XRP supply remains in loss positions. - XRP outperformed Bitcoin (+89% vs 3.6%) due to DeFi upgrades and cross-border utilit
India’s legal framework poses significant obstacles to the enforcement of U.S. court judgments.
- U.S. courts face enforcement challenges in India as Byju Raveendran's $1.07B default judgment clashes with India's strict foreign judgment recognition rules under Section 13. - TCS must appeal a $194M trade secrets ruling from the U.S. Fifth Circuit, highlighting cross-border IP disputes' complexity in the global IT sector . - Binance refunds Alpha Points after a technical error in a token airdrop, emphasizing operational risks in blockchain-based reward systems. - Amber International reports 69.8% YoY a

Bitcoin News Update: Bitcoin's Divergence from MAG7 Highlights a Shift Toward Scarcity-Focused Identity
- Bitcoin’s recent price drop and volatility warnings highlight market fragility amid diverging MAG7 correlations. - A historic $19B liquidation on October 10 marked Bitcoin’s decoupling from MAG7 tech stocks, reclassifying it as a scarcity-based hedge. - Low institutional adoption and 5% odds for MAG7 firms to hold Bitcoin in 2025 underscore limited macro support. - Trump’s growth forecasts lack Bitcoin tailwinds; CleanSpark’s AI pivot highlights crypto diversification. - Bitcoin’s future hinges on macroe

