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$3.38 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expiry Raises Concerns of September Volatility

$3.38 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expiry Raises Concerns of September Volatility

CoinspeakerCoinspeaker2025/09/04 16:00
By:By Bhushan Akolkar Editor Julia Sakovich

Implied volatility across Bitcoin maturities has rebounded to around 40% following a month-long correction that drove BTC price more than 10% below its all-time high.

Key Notes

  • Bitcoin’s implied volatility rebounded to 40%, with nearly 30% of options volume concentrated in puts.
  • Despite the cautious sentiment, BTC price is showing an upside move, eyeing a breakout past $113,000 levels for a sustained rally.
  • Analysts highlighted September’s weak historical track record for crypto, citing institutional rollovers and subdued capital inflows.

With $3.38 billion of Bitcoin BTC $113 097 24h volatility: 2.2% Market cap: $2.25 T Vol. 24h: $49.63 B options expiry on Sept. 5, BTC price is showing some strength with 1.77% upside. Now it has increased to $112,500 levels. Analysts are expecting September to be a month of subdued volatility and weaker performance, according to the historical trends.

BTC Price Jumps amid $3.38 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expiry

Bitcoin (BTC) leads this cycle of expiring options, with a notional value of $3.38 billion. Data from Deribit shows total open interest at 30,447 contracts.

The max pain level, where the most options are likely to expire worthless, sits at $112,000. Meanwhile, the put-call ratio is 1.41, indicating a bearish tilt and a cautious market sentiment.

$3.38 Billion in Bitcoin Options Expiry Raises Concerns of September Volatility image 0

$3.38 billion in Bitcoin options expire on Sept. 5| Source: Deribit

Amid this options expiry, implied volatility (IV) across Bitcoin maturities has rebounded to around 40% following a month-long correction that drove BTC price more than 10% below its all-time high. 

Analysts note that traders remain cautious, as shown by a surge in block trading of put options, which make up nearly 30% of today’s total options volume.

Bitcoin price has gained 1.7% in the last 24 hours, soaring past $112,500 levels as of press time. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital said Bitcoin has now fully confirmed its breakout . He noted that a daily close or successful retest of the ~$113,000 level would further validate the move and support continued upside momentum.

#BTC

Bitcoin has technically fully confirmed its breakout

A Daily Close and/or retest of the ~$113k region (red) would ensure additional trend continuation to the upside $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/5YkzaHtB6v pic.twitter.com/vf9Mt8uHrB

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) September 5, 2025

September Uncertainty Remains on Radar

Market sentiment is turning cautious, with Greeks.live noting that September has historically been a weak month for cryptocurrencies. Institutional rollovers and quarterly settlements often weigh on capital inflows, they said.

“The options market, in general, lacks confidence in September’s performance,” the analysts observed . With the broader downtrend and crypto equity correction, investors and traders prefer to stay risk-averse at this stage.

Bitcoin VDD Signals Easing Long-Term Holder Pressure

“If this selling pressure keeps easing, it will certainly provide relief to the market and may allow for a renewed move higher, provided demand steps in.” – By @Darkfost_Coc pic.twitter.com/65zAo2NLp7

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) September 5, 2025

On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant reported that Bitcoin’s Value Days Destroyed (VDD) metric indicates easing selling pressure from long-term holders. The firm noted that if this trend continues, it could provide relief to the market and open the door for a renewed upward move. However, this needs to be backed by a strong demand surge.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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