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Get ready for a seismic shift in how we forecast world events. The combined average daily trading volume on major prediction market platforms has rocketed to a staggering $500 million. This milestone, reported by analytics firm Sentora, signals that these platforms are moving from niche curiosities to mainstream financial instruments. But what’s fueling this explosive growth, and what does it mean for the future of trading? Which Prediction Market Platforms Are Driving This Surge? Sentora’s analysis points to a handful of key players leading the charge. Platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Opinion have all seen significant user and volume growth this year. Each platform offers a unique twist, from crypto-native interfaces to regulated US markets, attracting a diverse range of traders. This isn’t just about betting on sports; these prediction market platforms allow users to trade on outcomes for politics, current events, technology, and finance. The appeal is clear. They provide a tangible way to hedge real-world risk or simply express a viewpoint on future events. For example, you can trade on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike or the outcome of a major election. This utility, combined with easier access, is a primary growth driver. Why Are Prediction Markets Suddenly So Popular? Several powerful trends are converging to boost these platforms. First, the rise of decentralized finance (DeFi) has normalized peer-to-peer, blockchain-based trading. Second, global uncertainty around elections, inflation, and geopolitics creates more events people want to hedge against or speculate on. Finally, user experience has improved dramatically, making these markets accessible to non-experts. Transparency: Blockchain-based platforms offer publicly verifiable odds and results. Accessibility: Anyone with an internet connection and crypto wallet can participate globally. Liquidity: High daily volume attracts more traders, creating a virtuous cycle of better prices and more activity. Therefore, the $500 million volume figure isn’t just a number—it’s proof of a maturing, liquid ecosystem. As more institutional players and retail traders recognize their value, these prediction market platforms are poised for even greater adoption. What Challenges Do These Platforms Face? Despite the impressive growth, the path forward isn’t without hurdles. Regulatory clarity remains a patchwork globally, with some jurisdictions embracing these markets and others restricting them. Platforms must navigate complex legal landscapes, especially those operating in traditional finance like Kalshi. Furthermore, there is an ongoing need to educate new users about the mechanics and risks involved in trading event outcomes. Another challenge is maintaining integrity and preventing manipulation of real-world events. Reputable prediction market platforms invest heavily in oracle systems and dispute resolution to ensure accurate, tamper-proof results. Overcoming these challenges is crucial for transitioning from a $500 million daily volume to a multi-billion dollar industry. Conclusion: The Future of Forecasting The $500 million daily volume milestone is a watershed moment for prediction markets. It demonstrates a powerful and growing demand for decentralized information aggregation and financial tools that interact with real-world events. As technology improves and regulatory frameworks evolve, these platforms could fundamentally change how we think about risk, investment, and even the nature of forecasting itself. The market has spoken, and its verdict is one of staggering growth and potential. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) What exactly is a prediction market platform? A prediction market platform is a marketplace where users can trade contracts based on the outcome of future events. Prices reflect the crowd’s collective probability of an event occurring. Is trading on prediction markets legal? Legality varies by country and platform. Some, like Kalshi, are regulated in the US, while others operate in decentralized legal gray areas. Users must check their local regulations. What was the source of the $500M daily volume data? The data comes from an analysis by Sentora (formerly IntoTheBlock), a prominent DeFi and market analytics layer. Can you make money on prediction market platforms? Yes, traders can profit by correctly forecasting outcomes. However, like any trading, it involves significant risk and potential for loss. What kinds of events can I trade on? Markets range from politics and economics to sports, entertainment, and crypto-specific events like Bitcoin price milestones. Do I need cryptocurrency to use these platforms? Most decentralized platforms require crypto (like USDC or Ethereum). Regulated platforms like Kalshi may use traditional fiat currency. Found this insight into the booming world of prediction markets fascinating? Share this article on your social media to spark a conversation with your network about the future of trading and forecasting! To learn more about the latest decentralized finance trends, explore our article on key developments shaping the crypto landscape and institutional adoption. Disclaimer: The information provided is not trading advice, Bitcoinworld.co.in holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

In a stunning reversal of its long-standing policy, South Korea is on the verge of a landmark decision that could reshape its cryptocurrency landscape. After a strict seven-year prohibition, the nation’s financial authorities are actively drafting legislation to permit domestic ICOs once again. This potential move represents a seismic shift from blanket restriction to regulated innovation, aiming to bring crypto fundraising activities back onshore and under the watchful eye of local regulators. For blockchain entrepreneurs and investors in Asia’s fourth-largest economy, this news sparks a wave of cautious optimism. Why is South Korea Reconsidering Domestic ICOs Now? The 2017 ban on domestic ICOs was a reaction to rampant fraud and investor protection concerns during the initial crypto boom. However, this policy had an unintended consequence. It pushed promising Korean blockchain projects to launch their token sales overseas, often in less regulated jurisdictions, before seeking listings on popular South Korean exchanges. This ‘regulatory arbitrage’ created risks for local investors who ultimately traded these assets without the initial safeguards of a domestic offering. The proposed Digital Asset Basic Act seeks to correct this by creating a controlled, transparent environment for fundraising within the country’s borders. The core of the new framework, as reported, hinges on mandatory information disclosure. Projects seeking to launch a domestic ICO would need to provide comprehensive details about their team, technology, use of funds, and associated risks. This approach mirrors principles from traditional securities regulation, aiming to protect investors while fostering legitimate innovation. What Does the Draft Law Say About Stablecoins? The proposed legislation extends far beyond just ICOs. It introduces stringent new rules for stablecoins, which are cryptocurrencies pegged to stable assets like the US dollar. In a bold protective measure, the draft law proposes to ban the domestic trading of major overseas stablecoins, such as Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), unless their issuers establish a physical presence and comply with South Korean regulations. Local Presence Required: Foreign stablecoin issuers must set up a local entity. Strict Compliance: They must adhere to South Korean anti-money laundering (AML) and capital reserve rules. Investor Protection: The goal is to ensure accountability and reduce systemic risk for Korean investors. This move could significantly impact the local crypto market, potentially encouraging the development of Korean-won-pegged stablecoins and giving regulators greater oversight over a critical part of the digital asset ecosystem. What Are the Potential Benefits and Challenges? Unlocking domestic ICOs could unleash a wave of benefits for South Korea’s tech sector. It would allow innovative blockchain startups to raise capital from a supportive local investor base without the legal complexity and cost of going abroad first. This could position South Korea as a more competitive hub for Web3 development in Asia. However, significant challenges remain. Regulators must walk a tightrope between enabling growth and preventing the scams that prompted the original ban. Implementing effective, real-time monitoring of ICO disclosures will be resource-intensive. Furthermore, the stablecoin rules may face pushback from global crypto firms and could temporarily limit liquidity on local exchanges if enforced abruptly. The Financial Services Commission (FSC) has been careful to note that these proposals are not final. Discussions with other government agencies are ongoing, meaning the specifics could change before the law is presented to the National Assembly. The second phase of the Digital Asset Basic Act is expected to be finalized and potentially take effect sometime in 2025. Conclusion: A Cautious Step Towards a Structured Future South Korea’s potential pivot on domestic ICOs is a powerful signal of regulatory maturity. It acknowledges that a total ban is less effective than a well-designed framework. By aiming to bring crypto fundraising in-house with clear rules, the country seeks to protect its citizens, retain its technological talent, and capture the economic benefits of blockchain innovation. While the path forward requires careful navigation, this draft law could mark the beginning of a new, more integrated era for digital assets in one of the world’s most vibrant crypto markets. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q: When could South Korea officially allow domestic ICOs? A: The change is part of the second phase of the Digital Asset Basic Act, which could take effect as early as 2025, though the timeline is not yet finalized. Q: Why did South Korea ban ICOs in the first place in 2017? A: The ban was implemented due to widespread concerns over fraud, scams, and a lack of investor protection during the initial cryptocurrency boom period. Q: Will USDT and USDC be banned in South Korea? A: The draft law proposes banning the trading of overseas stablecoins unless their issuers establish a local presence and comply with South Korean financial regulations. It is not an outright ban but a requirement for localization. Q: What does ‘sufficient information disclosure’ mean for ICOs? A: It likely means ICO projects will be required to publicly disclose detailed information about their business plan, team, technology, use of proceeds, and risk factors, similar to a prospectus in traditional finance. Q: How will this affect South Korean crypto exchanges? A: Exchanges will likely need to adapt their listing procedures to vet and list tokens from newly permitted domestic ICOs. They may also need to adjust their trading pairs based on the new stablecoin rules. Q: Is this law guaranteed to pass? A: No. The FSC has stated the draft is not final and is still under discussion. The proposals must go through further review and legislative processes before becoming law. Found this analysis of South Korea’s groundbreaking crypto policy shift insightful? Help others stay informed by sharing this article on your social media channels. The conversation about balanced digital asset regulation is just beginning! To learn more about the latest cryptocurrency regulatory trends, explore our article on key developments shaping global crypto policy and institutional adoption. Disclaimer: The information provided is not trading advice, Bitcoinworld.co.in holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.

JPMorgan says stablecoin growth is driven by crypto trading, not payments adoption. Stablecoin market may reach $500–$600B by 2028, far below trillion-dollar forecasts. Banks and CBDCs could limit stablecoin adoption in institutional and cross-border use. JPMorgan has challenged predictions that stablecoins could reach a trillion-dollar market by 2028. The bank says growth is tied primarily to crypto trading, not payments adoption. Faster payment circulation reduces the need for larger stablecoin holdings, reinforcing a conservative outlook for the sector. On Wednesday, analysts led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou said the stablecoin market has expanded to more than $300 billion this year. Tether’s USDT grew by about $48 billion, while Circle’s USDC increased by $34 billion. Together, these two coins accounted for most of the growth. The analysts noted that stablecoin demand remains concentrated within the crypto ecosystem. Traders use stablecoins as cash or collateral for derivatives, DeFi lending, and borrowing. Venture funds and other crypto-native businesses also have idle balances in these tokens. This year alone, derivatives exchanges added roughly $20 billion in stablecoins. Higher volumes of perpetual futures trading continue to drive supply expansion. Analysts emphasized that broader payment adoption does not automatically increase the stablecoin market cap. Stablecoin Growth Driven by Trading Cycles JPMorgan analysts explained that token velocity influences supply needs more than adoption. As payment usage rises, stablecoins circulate faster, lowering the required holdings. For example, USDT’s annual velocity on Ethereum is roughly 50. If stablecoins handled 5% of global cross-border payments, only $200 billion would be required. The bank forecasts the market could reach $500 billion to $600 billion by 2028. That estimate contrasts sharply with Citi’s projection of $1.9 trillion and Standard Chartered’s $2 trillion prediction. Analysts argue that trading activity remains the main driver of growth, not payments adoption. The report also highlighted the role of tokenized deposits. JPMorgan launched JPM Coin (JPMD) on the Base Layer 2 network for institutional clients. The token represents U.S. dollar deposits and enables faster on-chain payments while remaining fully regulated. Tokenized deposits can be bearer or non-bearer. Regulators generally prefer non-transferable designs to preserve the “singleness of money” and reduce liquidity risk. Analysts said these initiatives provide safer payment alternatives while reducing concentration risk inherent to stablecoins. Related: JPMorgan Launches Onchain Money Market Fund With Real Yield Banks and CBDCs Could Limit Stablecoin Expansion JPMorgan analysts noted that SWIFT’s blockchain payment experiments could reinforce banks’ role in cross-border settlement. Such solutions may limit stablecoin adoption in institutional markets. Central bank digital currencies, including the digital euro and digital yuan, also offer regulated alternatives. Analysts said CBDCs could reduce reliance on privately issued stablecoins in cross-border and institutional use cases. Overall, JPMorgan concluded that stablecoin growth will likely track the broader crypto market rather than exceed it dramatically. Greater payment adoption does not necessarily require more tokens. Banks and CBDCs could further restrain expansion, keeping stablecoins as utility-focused trading tools. Analysts stressed that stablecoins remain critical for trading, derivatives, and DeFi activity. However, their function as broad payment instruments faces structural limits. The market is likely to grow steadily, reaching half a trillion to $600 billion by 2028, below the most optimistic projections. Disclaimer: The information provided by CryptoTale is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. CryptoTale is not liable for any financial losses resulting from the use of the content. Tags JPMorgan News Stablecoin News

COINOTAG News, reporting on December 19, confirms that Lifinity, an early DeFi protocol on Solana, will execute a phased shutdown. The decision follows a near-unanimous Protocol Termination vote within the governance process, signaling a formal wind-down rather than an abrupt exit for the project. Under the plan, roughly $42 million in treasury assets plus a $1.4 million development fund will be converted into USDC and allocated pro rata to LFNTY holders. The community projects per-token returns in the range of $0.90–$1.10. The redemption system is expected to go live about nine days after governance approval. Any unclaimed funds remaining after 12 months will be redistributed via an airdrop to users who have claimed, maintaining liquidity clarity for Solana DeFi participants.

Venture capital is the lifeblood of the startup world in Web3 and crypto. Entrepreneurs need to raise money for projects in order to hire talented people, pay operating costs, and perform marketing for scaling a business.VCs, of course, are more than happy to do this, as they get a chunk of the long-term payoff if there ever is one, of course. Most startups fail, and the business is highly predicated on unicorns to drive venture funds. The crypto market is unique, to be sure, with cryptocurrencies also playing a role as many startups launch tokens. However, the digital asset market hasnt been performing as well.Since October, when the price per 1 BTC hit an eye-watering $126,000 record level, the orange asset is in the red by 25%. Crypto VC Investments Over the Past 10 Years. Source: Galaxy Research Crypto prices impact the VC market, and dynamics have certainly changed for startups to raise money. Whats the outlook looking like overall right now? Market cycles may influence investment sentiment and can slow or accelerate the pace of closing deals, noted Stefan Deiss, CEO of Hashgraph Group, focused on VC in the Hedera ecosystem. Lowered Expectations From Venture Capital One of the first things that happens when crypto trends to a downward cycle is that startup valuations go lower. It may not seem directly related, but the concept of the hot rounds for fashionable startups cool off, and VCs dont really go for sky-high valuations so much, noted Artem Gordadze, an angel investor in NEAR Foundation and advisor at startup accelerator Techstars. When Bitcoin is trading at high levels, like the perceived $100k level, startup valuations are commensurately high, Gordadze said. This creates a challenging dynamic: VCs must justify the entry valuation based on a potential future price that must materialize within the investment horizon to generate acceptable returns. Bitcoins price since the start of Q4 on October 1. Source: CoinGecko It seems the theory that Bitcoin always goes up is not one venture capitalists are attuned to. Because of long time horizons for VC investments, they have seen many cycles, especially with Bitcoin. In addition, many VCs often call November and December write-off months. This means they dont expect to do too much work during the fourth quarter and the holiday season, preferring to start investing anew after the calendar turns to another year. The Pragmatic View The view of venture from 10,000 feet up, as it pertains to the crypto sector specifically, is one of spending, but less volume. Case in point: Prediction market Polymarket closed $1 billion, while Kraken took in $800m in funding this quarter. In the third quarter, the total amount of funding was $4.59 billion, but half of that was concentrated on just seven deals, according to Alex Thorne, head of research for Galaxy. The cash is flowing: 2025 Q3 was the second-highest since 2022 Q1. Source: X Market downturns sharpen the focus because you stop seeing price action as a signal but rather resilience in execution and product as the main indicators that count, said Hashgraph Groups Deiss. Downturns push investors to focus more on fundamentals rather than short-term momentum. That short-term momentum may often be more hype than anything else. And many big venture-backed projects doing a TGE have not performed very well this year. This includes PUMP (down over 50% in 2025) and Berachain (a 91% drop since its February launch). High volatility and uncertain early-stage valuations are driving a significant shift in capital deployment, favoring strategies with shorter liquidity cycles and better pricing control, added Gordadze. The Lock-Up and the Liquidity One of the most distinctive aspects of the cryptocurrency industry is the token generation event, or TGE.The successor to ICOs of days past, Coinbase is now facilitating TGEs after its $375 million purchase of investor platform Echo.Monad was the first project to launch there, raising $296m, and theres surely more to come. However, once a token launches, there are a few metrics that are unique to crypto that venture investors must closely monitor. One is the lock-up, whereby, at TGE, not all tokens are circulating in the market yet; there is a period of holding these assets back. This is designed to better incentivize a networks participants, from team members to community airdrops and foundation efforts. Then theres fully diluted value, or FDV this is the total number of tokens times the price basically a market cap for all tokens, even if they havent been unlocked yet. And when markets gyrate, its really hard to forecast any potential exits of tokens for VCs, which can be a conundrum.Recently, Arthur Hayes of Maelstrom Capital went on a rant about lock-ups, specifically related to Monad. As a trader, Hayes clearly doesnt like the illiquidity of these types of tokens. Arthur Hayes tagging Monads Keone Hon about lock-ups. Source: X Given the average token or equity vesting/lock-up period of 12 to 48 months, VCs must model the markets likely condition when these lock-ups end, said Gordadze, the Techstars mentor. The entry price must be strategically set to ensure a profitable exit, making long-term market forecasts crucial for deal finalization. The Future of Crypto VC Investment in 2026 and Beyond On the subject of market forecasts, VCs surely love to talk about the future. And for crypto, it seems, given favorable US regulatory actions in 2025, that next year could be much better. Is that just investor hopium? Maybe. But rose colored (or green) glasses are always the default mode for VCs. Optimism, of course, always wins. 2026 is shaping up as a year defined by real utility DeFi will make a strong comeback with enhanced momentum and maturity and the stablecoin moment becomes background, noted Deiss. Stablecoins certainly had a moment this year, although they are the boring infrastructure thats going to power, say, the next Polymarket, which uses USDC on Polygon as its main coin and chain. Now that stablecoins are finally going mainstream and banks are rushing to get in, the next level will be services for users that are powered by these assets behind the scenes, noted Gordadze. The most significant growth areas will likely reside in the intersection of AI/Blockchain and RWA/Blockchain, as these represent the greatest opportunities for real-world impact and institutional revenue generation. Read the article at BeInCrypto