Date: Thu, Dec 18, 2025 | 07:10 AM GMT
The broader cryptocurrency market has been experiencing choppy price action over the past several weeks, a phase that began after the sharp sell-off on October 10. That correction dragged Ethereum (ETH) down by nearly 22% over the last 60 days, keeping pressure firmly on major — including Avalanche (AVAX).
AVAX has slipped more than 12% over the past week alone, extending its 60-day decline to over 41%. While the short-term trend remains weak, a closer look at the higher-timeframe chart suggests that the sell-off may be approaching an area where downside momentum starts to fade.
Source: Coinmarketcap Falling Wedge Pattern in Play
On the weekly chart, AVAX continues to trade inside a well-defined falling wedge pattern. This structure has been guiding price action since early 2024 and is characterized by lower highs and lower lows that gradually compress into a narrowing range. Historically, falling wedges often reflect slowing selling pressure rather than aggressive distribution.
As shown on the chart, the latest decline has pushed AVAX directly into the lower boundary of this wedge, near the $11.64 region. This zone has acted as a critical demand area in the past, repeatedly attracting buyers and triggering short-term rebounds. Once again, price is reacting near this level, suggesting that sellers may be losing strength as AVAX presses into long-term support.
AVAX Weekly Chart/Coinsprobe (Source: Tradingview) The repeated defenses of the wedge’s lower trendline, combined with shrinking downside follow-through, point to growing indecision rather than panic selling. This behavior often precedes a stabilization phase or a relief bounce.
What’s Next for AVAX?
If AVAX continues to hold above the wedge floor, the focus will shift to whether buyers can reclaim key overhead levels. The first major hurdle sits at the 50-week moving average, currently near $22.54. This level has consistently acted as dynamic resistance during prior recovery attempts and remains a key marker for any trend change.
A sustained move above this moving average would strengthen the bullish case and potentially open the door for a push toward the upper boundary of the falling wedge. Reaching that zone would signal a meaningful shift in market structure and sentiment.
That said, the setup remains conditional. A decisive weekly close below the wedge’s lower boundary would invalidate the pattern and expose AVAX to further downside risk, with the next notable support area emerging near the $9.00 level.
For now, AVAX sits at a technically important crossroads. While broader market conditions remain fragile, the compression within this falling wedge suggests that a larger move may be approaching — with the coming weeks likely to determine whether this support zone becomes a base for recovery or a stepping stone to deeper losses.
