Why do almost all altcoins go to zero, with only a few exceptions?
Written by: Crypto Dan
Translated by: Saoirse, Foresight News
People always ask, why do almost all tokens go to zero, with only a few exceptions like Hyperliquid?
It all boils down to one thing that no one is honest about: the structural game between company equity and token holders.
Let me explain in simple terms.
They have the following characteristics:
Then, they casually issue a token.
Where does the problem lie?
Only one side can capture value, and equity is almost always the winner.
If a project raises funds through both equity and token sales, it immediately creates conflicting interests:
Equity side’s demands:
Token side’s demands:
These two systems will always be in conflict.
Most founders will ultimately choose the path that satisfies venture capital, and the value of the token will continue to erode.
This is why, even if many projects appear “successful” on the surface, their tokens are still doomed to go to zero.
Besides being the protocol with the highest fee revenue in the crypto industry, the project also avoided the biggest “killer” of tokens—venture capital equity funding rounds.
Hyperliquid has never sold its equity, has no VC-led board, and thus no pressure to direct value to the company.
This allows the project to do what most projects cannot: direct all economic value to the protocol, rather than to a corporate entity.
This is the fundamental reason why its token can be an “exception” in the market.
People always ask: “Why can’t we make tokens directly equivalent to company stock?”
Because as soon as a token has any of the following characteristics, it is classified as an “unregistered security”:
At that point, the entire U.S. regulatory apparatus will crack down on the project overnight: exchanges can’t list the token, holders must complete KYC, and global issuance becomes illegal.
Therefore, the crypto industry has chosen a different path.
Today, the “ideal” model is as follows:
This structure allows tokens to function economically like stocks, without triggering securities laws. Hyperliquid is currently the most typical successful example.
As long as a project still has a legal entity, potential conflicts of interest will always exist.
The only way to achieve true “no conflict” is to reach the ultimate form of Bitcoin/Ethereum:
Achieving this is extremely difficult, but the most competitive projects are moving in this direction.
The reason most tokens fail is not “poor marketing” or “bear market conditions,” but structural design flaws.
If a project has any of the following characteristics, then mathematically, the token cannot achieve long-term sustainable appreciation—such designs are doomed from the start:
On the other hand, projects with the following characteristics can achieve completely different outcomes:
Hyperliquid’s success is not “luck,” but the result of thoughtful design, a robust tokenomics model, and highly aligned interests.
Therefore, next time you think you’ve “found the next 100x potential token,” maybe you really have—but unless the project adopts a tokenomics design like Hyperliquid’s, its ultimate fate will be a slow decline to zero.
Only when investors stop funding projects with design flaws will teams begin to optimize tokenomics. Teams won’t change because of your complaints; only when you stop giving them money will they make adjustments.
This is why projects like MetaDAO and Street are so important to the industry—they are setting new standards for token structure and holding teams accountable.
The future direction of the industry is in your hands, so allocate your funds rationally.