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Pi Coin is currently suspended in a high-stakes technical pivot, caught between a threatening head-and-shoulders pattern and a late-stage intervention by dip buyers. While the asset remains down over 20% in the last quarter, a recent bullish divergence in the Money Flow Index (MFI) suggests that capital is entering the market at the exact moment a total collapse seemed imminent. However, for this survival attempt to evolve into a sustained rebound, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) must decisively clear its zero line a move that would signal the return of "big money" and invalidate a structural breakdown targeting the $0.137 level. I. The Tug-of-War: Retail Dips vs. Institutional Absence The current price action for Pi Coin is a battle of conflicting capital signals: MFI Bullish Divergence: Between December 19 and 25, Pi Coin’s price drifted lower, but the MFI produced higher highs. This divergence indicates that retail or "dip" money is successfully absorbing selling pressure, preventing the price from immediately slicing through the critical necklines of its bearish pattern. The CMF Hurdle: While the MFI has acted, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) which tracks larger institutional-scale orders has yet to fully confirm the move. The CMF has broken its descending trendline but is still struggling to cross the zero line for the first time since mid-November. Historically, a successful cross here has triggered rapid gains, such as the 10.7% rally seen in mid-November. II. Critical Thresholds: $0.182 vs. $0.218 The immediate future of Pi Coin is boxed in by two technical "lines in the sand" that will determine its 2026 trajectory: The Breakdown Risk ($0.182): The neckline of the current head-and-shoulders pattern sits near $0.182. A daily close below this level would confirm the bearish setup, opening the door for a 25% "measured move" decline toward $0.137. The Invalidation Target ($0.218): Conversely, a 6% push above the $0.218 level would break the pattern's right shoulder. This would effectively kill the breakdown thesis and signal that the CMF trendline break has translated into real, sustained demand. Warning Zone: Traders should watch the $0.192 level; a drop below this mark serves as the final warning that the breakdown story is restarting. III. Conclusion and Boxing Day Outlook The short-term outlook for Pi Coin is one of tentative survival under extreme technical pressure. The intervention of dip buyers has paused the bleeding, but without the confirmation of "big money" (a positive CMF), the asset remains vulnerable to a year-end collapse. For Pi Coin to enter the new year on a bullish footing, it must hold the $0.182 support and decisively attack the $0.218 resistance. Until then, the asset remains suspended between a hard-fought recovery and a forgiveness-free mathematical breakdown. ⚠️ Important Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and is based on analyst commentary, technical patterns, and on-chain metrics. It is not financial advice, nor should it be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or cryptocurrency. The cryptocurrency market is highly speculative, volatile, and subject to external factors. Readers must conduct their own comprehensive research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Pi Coin price is up a little over 1% in the past 24 hours, but it still trades more than 20% lower over the last three months. The downtrend has not reversed, yet something has shifted. A breakdown was forming on the chart, but dip buyers have stepped in at the last possible moment. Now, only big money can confirm whether this survival attempt becomes a strong rebound, or if Pi Coin goes right back toward the breakdown zone. Dip Money Tries to Hold the Line Between December 19 and December 25, the price of Pi Coin trended lower. At the same time, the Money Flow Index (MFI), which tracks whether capital is entering on dips, made higher highs. That is a bullish divergence. It suggests dip buyers are absorbing sell pressure before it can trigger a full breakdown. Dip Buying Continues: TradingView Want more token insights like this?Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariyas Daily Crypto Newsletterhere. The divergence isnt cosmetic. The MFI curled upward at the exact moment the Pi Coin price started moving toward the neckline of its head and shoulders pattern. That pattern still points down, but the reaction in MFI helped prevent the immediate breakdown. Only Big Money Can Turn the Price Right Side Up This is where the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) enters. CMF tracks big money flows. It measures whether deep liquidity and larger orders are actually entering the market. Pi Coins CMF has broken above its descending trend line and is now aiming for a zero line break for the first time since mid-November. For this attempt to flip the structure right side up, CMF must close above the zero line. The last time CMF did this was between November 14 and November 16. When that occurred, Pi Coin rallied by 10.76% in the subsequent sessions. Pi Coin Sees Big Money Flows: TradingView The structure is similar at present, but confirmation is lacking. Without CMF above zero, the move stays incomplete. The PI price chart is paused mid-pivot. Pi Coin Price Levels That Decide Everything The neckline of the head and shoulders pattern sits near $0.182. As long as Pi Coin holds above this line, the bearish structure remains unconfirmed. A move above $0.218 would mark a 6% push higher and break above the right shoulder of the pattern. That would weaken the breakdown thesis and signal that the CMF shift is real. Below $0.192 (the warning level), the breakdown story restarts. A daily close under $0.182 (11% down) confirms the neckline break, opening the door to a measured move toward $0.137. That is the 25% risk implied by the head-to-neckline measurement. It is not guaranteed, but the math is not forgiving. Pi Coin Price Analysis: TradingView For now, the Pi Coin price is caught between dip money and big money. MFI has already acted. CMF still hasnt. Not fully. Until both align, Pi Coin is suspended between survival and continuation. Read the article at BeInCrypto