LTC - Drops 1.29% Following Earnings Outlook

As of November 2, 2025,

fell by 1.29% over the previous 24 hours, settling at $100.08. Over the past week, LTC increased by 3.54%, gained 4.92% in the last month, but declined 3.11% over the past year.

Analysts expect LTC Properties Inc to report earnings of $0.31 per share for the upcoming quarterly results on November 4, 2025, based on the consensus from three analysts. Revenue for the quarter ending September 30, 2025, is forecast to drop by 40.5% to $33.191 million, down from $55.78 million in the same quarter a year earlier.

LTC currently holds an average analyst rating of “hold.” Of the analysts covering the stock, one recommends either a “strong buy” or “buy,” seven advise “hold,” and none suggest “sell” or “strong sell.” The consensus earnings forecast has not changed in the last three months, indicating analysts’ views remain steady.

Analysts have set a median 12-month price target of $37.00 for the company, which is 5.2% above the most recent closing price of $35.08. Past performance has been mixed, with the company sometimes missing and sometimes meeting earnings expectations. For example, the latest quarterly earnings for June 30, 2025, were $0.51 per share, falling short of the $0.68 estimate by 23%. Other quarters have seen both positive and negative surprises, with the largest positive surprise being 8.6% in December 2024.

The company’s track record for meeting earnings expectations has been uneven. In the last four quarters, LTC missed earnings estimates three times and exceeded them twice. The most recent report for March 31, 2025, matched the forecast at $0.65 per share, but only just. This pattern of variability adds uncertainty to the upcoming results.

Backtest Hypothesis

An event-driven backtest was performed on

(ticker LTC.N) around its earnings release dates since 2022. The analysis is limited by a small sample size, with only three earnings events reviewed. Short-term average returns over 1–3 trading days were slightly negative, with a win rate between 33% and 67%, indicating no clear positive trend after earnings. For the medium term (15–30 trading days), returns were moderately positive, ranging from 5% to 16%, but lacked statistical reliability.

Based on these findings and the characteristics of REITs, the backtest indicates that earnings releases alone do not provide a dependable trading advantage. A broader analysis, including more data back to 2019 and comparisons with similar REITs, could yield deeper insights. Analysts also suggest considering factors like dividend adjustments or changes in guidance to better understand earnings impacts. The backtest uses adjusted closing prices and benchmarks against the S&P 500.