美联储威廉姆斯表示,不知道何时降息,将取决于数据表现。 有充分证据表明货币政策具有限制性;预计2024年PCE通胀率将回落至2.5%,2025年将接近2%;预计美国通胀将在2024年下半年恢复放缓;预计2024年GDP增长2%-2.5%,失业率在4%左右;最近的数据并不意味着通胀下降趋势的中断。
Fed's Williams said he doesn't know when to cut rates, will depend on data performance. There is ample evidence that monetary policy is restrictive; PCE inflation is expected to fall back to 2.5% in 2024 and close to 2% in 2025; U.S. inflation is expected to return to a slowdown in the second half of 2024; GDP growth is expected to be 2%-2.5% in 2024, and the unemployment rate is around 4%; recent data do not imply an interruption in the downward trend of inflation.
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