ponkehqの‌価格Ponke

$PONKE - Mcap 18.45M$ - 91%/ 151.5K votes Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry includes the POC and is not affected by any weak zone, the projected stop-loss is around 1.85%. The downtrend is in the 125th cycle, with a decline amplitude of 9.96%. #TradingSetup #CryptoInsights

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🔎 Macro Conditions • U.S. Treasury Yields Slide → 10Y yield at 4.05%, reflecting renewed expectations of a Fed November rate cut. • Dollar Index (DXY) → Falls to 103.2, a 3-month low, fueling global risk appetite. • Gold → Steady at $2,448, while Oil (Brent) climbs to $92.1 amid tightening supply. • Equities → S&P 500 futures +0.4%, Nasdaq futures +0.6%. Takeaway: The macro setup continues to favor crypto: falling yields, weaker dollar, and risk-on sentiment. 📈 ETF & Institutional Flow Watch • Bitcoin Spot ETFs → +$262M net inflows Tuesday, the 6th consecutive day of positive flows. • Ethereum ETFs → SEC comment period closed Sept 20. Decision window expected Oct–Nov. • Solana ETF Filing (Franklin Templeton) → Symbolic, but sparking serious institutional interest in SOL. Institutional Note: ETF flows remain the single strongest validation for BTC’s structural bull case. 🌐 DeFi, NFTs & Meme Coins DeFi: • TVL rises to $118.1B. • Pendle (+4.2%) and EigenLayer (+3.9%) dominate as institutional yield plays. NFTs: • ETH collections steady (Azuki +3%, Pudgy Penguins +2%). • SOL NFTs rally (Mad Lads +6%, SMB Gen3 +4%). • NFT-Fi protocols see record borrowing activity → NFTs are evolving into financial primitives. Meme Coins: • $WIF (Solana) +11% → Coinbase listing chatter. • $BRETT (Base) +8% → retail enthusiasm on Base. • $PONKE (Solana) +5% → meme flows sustain SOL’s volume dominance. 🧠 Research Insights • QCP Capital: BTC could test $115K by October if Fed confirms rate cut trajectory. • Kaiko Research: Solana’s liquidity depth now on par with Ethereum. • CryptoQuant: Exchange BTC reserves at 3-year lows → supply crunch intensifying. • Glassnode: Long-term holders accumulating at aggressive pace. ⚡ Risk & Liquidation Zones • BTC Price: $113,020 • Downside: $111K → $350M longs at risk. • Upside: $115K → $570M shorts exposed. Volatility Watch: Leverage remains stretched → breakout in either direction could be sharp. 📅 Events to Monitor • Late Sept: Ripple stablecoin pilot launch. • Oct 4: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). • Oct–Nov: SEC Ethereum ETF decision window. • Q4: Mt. Gox BTC distributions (lingering risk). 📝 Final Dispatch The September rally is maturing: • $BTC holds firm above $113K, ETFs fueling momentum. • $ETH positions for its long-awaited ETF milestone. . $SOL proves it is more than a meme chain, commanding liquidity and cultural dominance. • $XRP plays the long game, with its stablecoin project potentially reshaping cross-border settlement. With macro winds shifting dovish and institutional flows steady, the market’s bias remains higher into Q4. But with leverage extended, traders should expect sharp squeezes before the next leg higher.