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Nice to see $BTC and $ETH bid side liquidity improving ! There's solid support for Bitcoin with $200M+ bids between $80K-$85K, and Ethereum's looking good too with $150M bids between $2,700-$2,800. This zone's likely to hold, so dips here are basically a buy signal. On a different note, my experience with the Bitget Trading Club Championship was a rollercoaster, struggling for strategies, then falling off the leaderboard. But things turned around when GetAgent showed me the play, and now with phase 22, I'm crushing it going into this week's phase ! $SOPH

CryptoQuant has released a new report, highlighting a significant shift in Ethereum’s exchange supply dynamics and institutional behavior. According to the data, the amount of ETH held on crypto exchanges has crashed to unexpected lows. The decline coincides with growing institutional accumulation, a trend often viewed as an early signal of a bullish price outlook. Ethereum Exchange Balances Fall To 2016 Lows Arab Chain, a crypto analyst on CryptoQuant, revealed that Ethereum’s exchange supply ratio across all tracked platforms has declined to approximately 0.137. According to the data referenced in the report, this represents one of the lowest readings observed since 2016. Related Reading Ethereum 2-Year Trend Maps Out This Unique Crash Path To Bottom At $2,187 3 days ago The analyst emphasized that this metric reflects the proportion of total ETH supply currently held on exchanges relative to the overall circulating supply. Lower levels of this metric reflect a smaller fraction of ETH ready for liquidation on exchanges, which the analyst identifies as an important factor in understanding market liquidity conditions. Arab Chain also noted that the sustained decline in this ratio indicates a continued outflow of ETH from centralized exchanges to external wallets. This movement suggests that a smaller portion of Ethereum’s supply is readily available for trading. It also signals growing confidence among holders who prefer long-term positioning over short-term speculation. Source: Chart from CryptoQuant From a broader market perspective, a shrinking exchange supply is often seen as bullish for prices due to basic supply-and-demand dynamics. When fewer coins are available to sell, even a slight increase in demand can push prices up, as buyers compete for a smaller pool of liquid ETH. Reduced liquidity can also limit the intensity of declines, as large sell orders become harder to execute without moving the market. In his report, Arab Chain references historical behaviour, illustrated by a chart showing the Ethereum supply ratio for all exchanges. The analyst noted that similar declines in exchange supply have occurred during periods of reaccumulation or in the lead-up to stable price movements following significant market volatility. Ethereum Supply On Binance Crashes Arab Chain has also shared insights on Ethereum’s supply on Binance. The analyst disclosed that ETH balances on the exchange have been steadily declining over the past few months. As one of the largest crypto exchanges in the world, Binance’s reserve changes often reflect broader market sentiment. Related Reading Why Did The Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Crash, And Will It Continue? 4 days ago The CryptoQuant report highlights that the Exchange Supply Ratio on Binance has crashed to 0.0325, a relatively low level compared to previous months. This indicates a steady withdrawal of ETH from the crypto exchange, reducing the amount of tokens available for immediate spot market selling. Arab Chain suggested that the drop in Ethereum supply on Binance shows that traders are becoming more cautious. Rather than engaging in short-term trades, many appear to be holding ETH off exchanges due to ongoing market volatility and uncertainty. The analyst added that the falling supply, combined with ETH’s price stability, indicates lower selling pressure. It also signals that the market may be entering a new phase of liquidity absorption and repositioning. ETH trading at $2,949 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

BTC and ETH rose slightly → modest buying in the two safest crypto assets Altcoins were mixed → no clear “altseason”; money is selective What this tells us about sentiment Cautious optimism: traders are willing to buy, but not aggressively Risk-off within crypto: capital prefers BTC & ETH over smaller coins Often happens when: Macro news (rates, jobs, CPI) is uncertain Traders are waiting for confirmation Typical implications Short term: Range-bound market, choppy price action BTC dominance: Likely to increase or stay high Altcoins: Only strong fundamentals or narratives perform Trading mindset Focus on BTC/ETH levels for direction Be selective with alts; avoid chasing pumps Best environment for scalping or waiting, not heavy leverage

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH risks rejection at 20-day EMA Ethereum has seen $56 million in liquidations over the past 12 hours, led by $42.8 million in short liquidations, according to Coinglass data. ETH is facing resistance at the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) again after bouncing off the lower boundary of a key symmetrical triangle that has been in place since November 21. The top altcoin must establish a firm breakout above the 20-day EMA to test the triangle's resistance before staging a move toward the $3,470 hurdle. On the way up, ETH also has to clear the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day EMAs. On the downside, ETH could find support at $2,620 if it breaks below the triangle. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is testing its moving average and neutral level line, while the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) has slightly retreated from oversold territory. Both indicators crossing above their respective neutral levels could strengthen the bullish momentum and help propel prices higher.

Ethereum remains in a broader corrective phase after a strong rejection from higher Fibonacci resistance levels. While bearish structure is still intact, price action is now showing stabilization above a key demand zone, suggesting selling pressure is gradually weakening. The major sell-off began after ETH was rejected from the $4,065 (0.618 Fib) and $4,457 (0.786 Fib) resistance zone — a region that repeatedly capped upside momentum. This rejection triggered a decisive breakdown below all major moving averages, shifting market control firmly to sellers. EMA Structure (Bearish Stack) 20 EMA — $3,038 50 EMA — $3,220 100 EMA — $3,429 200 EMA — $3,418 All EMAs remain stacked above the current price, forming a strong resistance cluster, confirming that ETH is still trading within a bearish technical environment. Current Price Action & Support Analysis ETH is currently consolidating above the $2,850–$3,000 demand zone, an area that has repeatedly attracted buyers. This zone sits just above the Fib 0 level at $2,623, reinforcing its importance as a key downside support. So far, buyers have successfully defended this region, preventing a deeper breakdown. As long as ETH holds above $2,850, a short-term relief bounce remains possible. Bullish Recovery Levels For any bullish continuation or momentum shift, ETH must reclaim key Fibonacci levels: $3,174 (0.236 Fib) — first sign of stabilization $3,514 (0.382 Fib) — trend recovery attempt $3,790 (0.5 Fib) — major supply zone A true trend reversal will only be confirmed if ETH breaks and holds above $4,065 (0.618 Fib), where sellers previously regained full control. Downside Risk Scenario If ETH loses the current demand zone, the next key downside targets are: $2,623 (Fib 0 support) $2,402 (major historical support) A breakdown below these levels could open the door to an extended corrective move. Momentum Indicator RSI (14): 46.51 RSI is recovering from oversold territory, indicating bearish momentum is fading, but bullish strength has not yet been confirmed. 📊 Key Levels Summary Resistance $3,174 (0.236 Fib) $3,514 (0.382 Fib) $3,790 (0.5 Fib) $4,065 (0.618 Fib) $4,457 (0.786 Fib) Support $2,850–$3,000 (major demand zone) $2,623 (Fib 0) $2,402 (macro support) 📌 Summary Ethereum is currently holding a critical demand zone after a sharp bearish move. While a relief bounce is possible in the short term, the broader structure remains bearish as long as price stays below the EMA cluster and $3,500–$3,800 resistance zone. Bulls must reclaim $3,174 to shift momentum, while failure to hold support could push ETH back toward $2,623. $ETH