On Polymarket, the probability that Trump will not announce a Federal Reserve Chair nominee this year has risen to 91%

According to Odaily, Polymarket data shows that the market now estimates a 91% probability that Trump will not announce the next Federal Reserve Chair before December 31, 2025. Among the potential candidates expected to be announced within this year, Kevin Hassett's probability of winning has dropped to 4%, while Chris Waller and Kevin Warsh have probabilities of 3% and 2%, respectively.

Although the market previously had high expectations that Trump would secure the Federal Reserve leadership in advance, the current betting trends indicate that the appointment process may be delayed compared to earlier expectations.